HSBC Championships
1/8 FINALS
Mannarino A.
ATP: 32
vs
Fery A.
ATP: 251
17-06-2026 @ 14:30
Result: 2-0 (7-6, 6-4)
AI FORECASTS
✓ AI HIT
🎯Both Players to Win a Set
No
The fatigue penalty for Fery is notably high at 10, following a grueling 130-minute match with limited recovery time. Mannarino's ability to shorten points on grass will likely prevent Fery from finding the rhythm needed to take a set.
🎾Match Winner Projection
Mannarino A. to Win
Mannarino's flat, low-trajectory groundstrokes are a nightmare for opponents on grass, especially at Queen's Club. His historical SDR of 1.08 indicates a significant performance uptick on this specific surface compared to his career average.
📈Total Games Projection
Under 22.5 Games
With Mannarino's serve hold probability at 84%, break opportunities will be scarce for the young Brit. A 6-4, 6-3 type scoreline is projected, keeping the total games under the 22.5 threshold.